Tag: climate forecasting

Climate Forecasting: Oceans, Droughts, Climate Change and Other Tools of the Trade

by | 6.29.2011 at 12:02pm | 1 Comment
The map shows IRI's temperature forecast for July-August-September 2011. Red indicates areas with enhanced probability for above normal temperatures. Blue indicates areas with enhanced probability for below normal temperatures.

At the International Research Institute for Climate and Society’s monthly climate briefing, talk often focuses on the role that El Niño or La Niña play in driving global climate. With the collapse of La Niña last month, though, IRI’s forecasters now have to rely on different tools to offer forecasts for the coming year. That’s [...]

Before the Flood—Predicting the Deluge

by | 4.12.2011 at 9:00am | 2 Comments
Selected combinations of ENSO and PDO associated with increased flood risk along the Blacksmith Fork River in Utah. Source:Shaleen Jain, Upmanu Lall, 2000, “Magnitude and Timing of Annual Maximum Floods: Trends and Large-scale Climatic Associations for the Blacksmith Fork River, Utah,” Water Resources Research

The Columbia Global Flood Project is based on the conviction that while human beings may not have direct control of where and how much rain falls, there is a great deal more that can be done to manage the risk of extreme flooding around the world.